Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both men come into this fight on career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a large factor and there’s a not many tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with complete power and relies on finishing opponents. In a five round fight this approach is a risky one that is going to backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of their own but conserves cardio for a more consistent output. On the toes both guys can have their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz is likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet wild and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the floor. Since Santos tires that the takedowns will be available and Santos has struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a finish when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is quick with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing in some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the feet with a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw aggressive combinations. The major differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez hasn’t shown good takedown defense on the regional scene and relies on high risk submissions off his back. This strategy rarely succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and search for trips and takedowns to the mat where he favours control and top position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Components to acquire 1.70 Units.
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