This week, we’ve got a Fight Pass card at Singapore. Because it is in Singapore, we have to wake up at 4:30am ET to watch it live. I have already set the alarm and that I will be up prepared to sweat these early fights. DraftKings does not have many big tournaments this week so that I will be playing more money games and less GPPs. I’ll still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment this week will probably be in money games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a few plays I enjoy and my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a dull fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights usually score high as a whole along with the winner almost always pays off their cost in DraftKings. I usually look for 100 total points if I stack a struggle in cash and I think for this being a probable 5-rounds, it must assess well over that. Should Edwards win this fight, it’s probably an early KO, and if that happens he’ll score quite high. If Cerrone wins, then he can lock up a entry or a knockout and that will readily 10x his cost of $7.6k. However, in any event, you’ve got the winner at your lineup along with the guaranteed 30-90 win bonus points if you do pile. I believe this fight is going to be fun so long as it continues and there ought to be a good amount of points added up before these two get completed. If this does go 5 rounds, these two should still get over 100 total points with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP play of this week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang always puts on a series when he steps in the Octagon. He is a fast pace fighter that scores well on DraftKings if he wins. I believe he must be the better fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. I also believe he could complete this battle on the feet or the floor and if that happens he would probably pay off his high cost of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and that I believe he has the maximum ceiling. That is what we want in GPPs is a ceiling, so that is the reason why Jingliang is my GPP play of the week.
Underdog play of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favorite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His betting line has changed to him being a slight favorite at -120 however he is $400 cheaper than his opponent. I believe saving that $400 is a good move in cash or GPP games therefore I like Yadong in all formats. I believe Yadong will seem to keep this battle on the feet and search for this KO win. If he does get the win, I believe he should easily pay off that price tag and get at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My main difficulty with Pereira is that she is too pricey. At $8.8k, I want at least 88 points out of her and I think she needs get an end to perform that. I don’t see that happening and neither does Vegas with a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike a high enough pace or territory enough takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my personal opinion. In her 2 UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence to get a fantastic portion of the struggle and no issues are being scored when that happens. If she does this again , there’s absolutely no way she comes near 88 points even with a win. I have a complete fade on Pereira this week and that I will compensate for different favorites instead.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on every struggle, my private strategies & recommendations, and my pick prediction for every single struggle then it is possible to find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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