The Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway this weekend, and with Kyle Busch winning at both Phoenix and Fontana over the last two weeks, he has been set up as a heavy favorite for the STP 500 in”The Paperclip”–and for good reason: Rowdy hasn’t finished outside the top 5 at this track because the 2014 season, and he’s led a combined 582 laps over the last four (and 937 within the previous six). Of course, when you have the preferred at +150 to win, so there is some great value in betting others in case that guy has problems during the race.
Last weekend at Car Club Speedway my favorite bets went 2-0, bringing my annual record to 5-3. I had Brad Keselowski to finish top 3, and his afternoon went south , so that was screwed from the beginning.
My Bets for Martinsville
Martin Truex, Jr.. Sirius XM Paint Scheme Martinsville 2019
Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images
Martin Truex, Jr.. Top 3 Finish (+200) — The races in Martinsville are generally predictable: we see the exact same faces up front again and again, and we don’t watch Martin Truex, Jr. in victory lane. Where we do find him, though, is close enough to win if something goes wrong with the leader. Over the previous three races at”The Paperclip,” Truex has posted finishes of 3rd, 4th, and 2nd, although he begins back into 8th for the STP 500, he’s got one hell of a race car under him for to the front. The #19 Toyota rated #1 in 10-, 15-, 20-, and 30-lap average during the final practice session here on Saturday, and there’s going to be lots of long runs during the race. Truex will shine during those. When you study this week’s ranks by the Fantasy Racing On line algorithm, Truex is a really close 4th behind Logano, and if you look at current trends by pole sitters from the spring Martinsville race, then I would give that advantage to Truex.
Chris Buescher (+105) over Daniel Hemric — I am honestly surprised Chris Buescher isn’t becoming more adore this weekend. This #37 team hasn’t finished worse than 18th since the Daytona 500, and they’ve got a good starting place for the current STP 500 (12th). Meanwhile, Hemric will begin from back in 28th, also has a propensity to hit the wall more frequently than not. We’ve got 500 laps to race in the present STP 500, and to tell the truth, I am not sure he ends. On the flip side, Buescher has completed 13th, 23rd, 21st, and 11th in his last four Martinsville starts, and he is running better than he’s likely ever conducted. This one is a no brainer for me.
Martinsville Race Day Betting Odds for the STP 500
Kyle Busch 2.25/1 )
Martin Truex, Jr. 4.5/1 )
Brad Keselowski 5/1
Joey Logano 5/1
Denny Hamlin 8/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Kevin Harvick 12/1
Ryan Blaney 15/1
Aric Almirola 15/1
Chase Elliott 25/1
Kurt Busch 30/1
Jimmie Johnson 40/1
Kyle Larson 50/1
Erik Jones 60/1
Austin Dillon 80/1
Alex Bowman 80/1
Daniel Surez 80/1
Ryan Newman 80/1
Field 32/1
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