Adhering to a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal Strategy in Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night in the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Alex Bowman made his first Cup series victory last week and he’s +1800 chances to replicate, but it’s Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with odds of +700 who top the oddsboard.
Intertops includes Logano and Keselowski as the favorites at +700 followed closely by Denny Hamlin in +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick in +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer at +1400 to round out the leading drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Ford has won five of the last ten races at Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings over that span, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has only two victories.
There hasn’t been a repeat winner in this track since Jimmie Johnson did thus from the 2 races in 2013. Denny Hamlin appears to become the latest driver to do it won the Daytona 500 in February.
Just once over the past 17 races at Daytona has got the winner started on the pole and that was Dale Earnhardt Jr. in 2015. The typical starting place for the motorist who carried the checkered flag over that span was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series livelihood a week at Chicagoland and has had good qualifying rate at Daytona recently. He’s begun first or second in each of the past three runnings in this track, but has completed 10th or worse, therefore until he can find the exact same rate in the race, I will stay away.
Logano (+700) has had greater success during the Daytona 500 than he’s in the midseason race at this track. From the 500, he’s an average finish position of 13.28, for example winning in 2015, but he has an average finish position of 21.2 in the July race, and it has dropped in each of the past two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has experienced a series of terrible luck at Daytona lately, with dropped in four of the last five races but six races ago at this course, he drove to victory lane. He’s five wins at Talladega, yet another restrictor-plate monitor, so that he knows how to compete in these races. Look for him to be in the hunt Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) not as a favorite seems to be an automated wager, but Daytona has become the better of him for most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he has forced to victory lane at Daytona, and he’s only three top-five endings there over the past 14 races, but he was the runner-up in this year’s Daytona 500.
I’ve been evaporating Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long as he had not shown signs of his former dominant self until last week. He seemed powerful at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but ultimately finished 14th. Harvick has crashed in four of the five races at Daytona since switching to Ford in 2017 but he led multiple laps in three of these runnings. Assuming he keeps his nose clean, this may be a good spot for Harvick.
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